Top 4 Food Items to Watch This Black Friday: Will Prices Drop or Spike?

Published on October 27, 2025
Top 4 Food Items to Watch This Black Friday: Will Prices Drop or Spike?

Black Friday hype promises big deals — but when it comes to staple food items, the outcomes can surprise. At The Price Marketplace, we analysed recent price trends across Nigeria to identify the four food items most likely to either fall or spike this Black Friday week. Armed with data, you’ll know whether the “discount” is real or just marketing.

Top 4 Food Items to Watch Out For This Black Friday 

1. Rice — The Import-Sensitive Staple

Rice remains Nigeria’s most imported foodstuff. A favourable currency plus a retailer push can cause short-term price drops, but import duty changes or shipping delays could undo gains fast. We expect mild price drop (-1 % to -4 %) in major markets.

2. Garri — The Local Wild Card

Garri is produced locally but processed with fuel and transport inputs. If transport costs spike ahead of Black Friday deliveries, garri prices may rise +3 % to +6 %.

3. Beans — Post-Harvest Manoeuvre

With the latest beans harvest completed, supplies are stable. However heavier demand from restaurants and catering for Black Friday gatherings could push +2 % to +5 %.

4. Tomatoes & Fresh Produce — High Volatility

Fresh produce responds fast to supply disruptions, weather and demand spikes. We expect tomato prices to climb +5 % to +12 % in urban markets if deliveries lag.

Each has its own dynamics – imported vs local, processed vs raw. Use our dashboard filters to watch state-by-state movements and spot unexpected jumps.

Conclusion


Want to stay ahead of the pack? Set your own alert thresholds on our platform, download the CSV, and compare your local store’s prices on Prices Dashboard